Yang still locked out of debate as deadline looms
December 10, 2019
Once again, Andrew Yang has come tantalizingly close to qualifying for the December debate, only to fall just short.
Yang garnered 3 percent support in a Monmouth University poll released on Tuesday, the first qualifying poll to be released in nearly two weeks, leaving him still just shy of qualifying for the December debate.
Yang needs to hit 4 percent in one more poll approved by the Democratic National Committee by the end of the day on Thursday, giving the outsider candidate a bit over 60 hours to make it on stage. Yang has now hit 3 percent in 12 of the 25 December qualifying polls released so far.
He hopes to join six other candidates who have already qualified for the Dec. 19 debate in Los Angeles, which is co-hosted by POLITICO and PBS NewsHour: Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, Tom Steyer and Elizabeth Warren.
To qualify, candidates need to hit 4 percent in four polls approved by the DNC (or 6 percent in two early-state polls) and have contributions from 200,000 unique donors. Yang has three polls and has already crossed the donor mark.
No candidate’s qualification is official until confirmed by the DNC; candidates' qualification is based off of POLITICO’s tracking of public polling and donor counts.
In the poll, Biden has a narrow lead over the two leading liberal challengers, Sanders and Warren. He is at 26 percent to Sanders' 21 percent and Warren's 17 percent. Pete Buttigieg is a distant fourth at 8 percent, followed by Mike Bloomberg's 5 percent. Sen. Amy Klobuchar was at 4 percent, her best performance in a Monmouth national poll this year, which made her the final candidate to clear that benchmark.
Biden, Sanders and Buttigieg were roughly stable, compared to the results of a November Monmouth national poll. Warren saw a modest drop, and this is the first time Bloomberg was included in a Monmouth poll since the beginning of 2019, before he initially ruled out a presidential run.
Tulsi Gabbard, the only other candidate who is close to qualifying for the debate, had less than 1 percent support.
Like Yang, Gabbard is one poll away from qualifying. However, she seemingly removed herself from contention Monday evening.
"For a number of reasons, I have decided not to attend the December 19th 'debate' — regardless of whether or not there are qualifying polls," she tweeted on Monday. "I instead choose to spend that precious time directly meeting with and hearing from the people of New Hampshire and South Carolina."
However, the Hawaii congresswoman could always change her mind. She publicly toyed with boycotting the October debate, before ultimately opting to participate.
Bloomberg will not be in the Dec. 19 debate, either. He is not collecting campaign contributions, which precludes him from the debate stage — and it isn't clear if he would hit the polling threshold either.
No other debate qualifying polls have been publicly announced ahead of the Thursday deadline, but polls' releases are not typically announced well in advance.
All of the polls approved by the DNC are conducted either by independent media outlets or universities, who decide on their own when to conduct and release polls. Some pollsters have publicly bemoaned the position the DNC has put them in, arguing that debate qualifications was not the reason they were conducting surveys.
Yang has maintained over the past few days that he is confident he will be on stage.
"Let’s just say I’ve already booked my tickets to LA for the next debate," he tweeted on Sunday, with three emojis: a smiley face, thumbs up and American flag. "Got a couple pieces of info that suggest good news is coming our way."
The Monmouth University Poll was conducted from Dec 4-8. It surveyed 384 registered voters who identify as Democrats or lean toward the Democratic Party and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.
Source: https://www.politico.com/
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