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Kentucky, U.S. House, District 4

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 4th Congressional District of Kentucky, held elections in 2018.

Heading into the election the incumbent was Thomas Massie (R), who was first elected in 2012.

Kentucky's 4th Congressional District is located in northern Kentucky. It is a long district that follows the Ohio River. Boone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant, Greenup, Henry, Kenton, Lewis, Mason, Oldham, Owen, Pendleton, Shelby, and Trimble counties, as well as parts of Boyd, Harrison, Jefferson, and Spencer counties are included in the district.



Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Thomas Massie Republican Party $376,492 $395,746 $225,344 As of December 31, 2018
Seth Hall Democratic Party $76,212 $38,261 $-980 As of October 17, 2018
Mike Moffett Independent $0 $0 $0 Data not available

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018.

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Demographics

Demographic data for Kentucky

KentuckyU.S.
Total population:4,424,611316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):39,4863,531,905
Gender
Female:50.8%50.8%
Race and ethnicity**
White:87.6%73.6%
Black/African American:7.9%12.6%
Asian:1.3%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2.1%3%
Hispanic/Latino:3.3%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:84.2%86.7%
College graduation rate:22.3%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$43,740$53,889
Persons below poverty level:22.7%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Kentucky.

As of July 2016, Kentucky had a population of approximately 4,436,974 people, with its three largest cities being Louisville (pop. est. 616,261), Lexington (pop. est. 318,449), and Bowling Green (pop. est. 65,234). The chart on the right shows demographic information for Kentucky from 2010 to 2015. The graphs below show racial demographics and levels of educational attainment in Kentucky compared to the rest of the country.

State history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Kentucky from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Kentucky State Board of Elections.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Kentucky every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Kentucky 2000-2016

Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Donald Trump 62.5% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 32.7% 29.8%
2012 Republican Party Mitt Romney 60.5% Democratic Party Barack Obama 37.8% 22.7%
2008 Republican Party John McCain 57.4% Democratic Party Barack Obama 41.2% 16.2%
2004 Republican Party George W. Bush 59.6% Democratic Party John Kerry 39.7% 19.9%
2000 Republican Party George W. Bush 56.5% Democratic Party Al Gore 41.2% 15.3%

U.S. Senate elections, 2002-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Kentucky from 2002 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Kentucky 2002-2016

Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Rand Paul 57.3% Democratic Party Jim Gray 42.7% 14.6%
2014 Republican Party Mitch McConnell 56.2% Democratic Party Alison Lundergan Grimes 40.7% 15.5%
2010 Republican Party Rand Paul 55.7% Democratic Party Jack Conway 44.2% 11.5%
2008 Republican Party Mitch McConnell 53.0% Democratic Party Bruce Lunsford 47.0% 6.0%
2004 Republican Party Jim Bunning 50.7% Democratic Party Daniel Mongiardo 49.3% 1.4%
2002 Republican Party Mitch McConnell 64.7% Democratic Party Lois Combs Weinberg 35.3% 29.4%

Gubernatorial elections, 2003-2015

This chart shows the results of the gubernatorial elections held between 2003 and 2015. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Kentucky.

Election results (Governor), Kentucky 2003-2015

Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2015 Republican Party Matt Bevin 52.5% Democratic Party Jack Conway 43.8% 8.7%
2011 Democratic Party Steve Beshear 55.7% Republican Party David Williams 35.3% 20.4%
2007 Democratic Party Steve Beshear 58.7% Republican Party Ernie Fletcher 41.3% 17.4%
2003 Republican Party Ernie Fletcher 55.0% Democratic Party Ben Chandler 45.0% 10.0%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Kentucky in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Kentucky 2000-2016

Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 5 83.3% Democratic Party 1 16.7% R+4
2014 Republican Party 5 83.3% Democratic Party 1 16.7% R+4
2012 Republican Party 5 83.3% Democratic Party 1 16.7% R+4
2010 Republican Party 4 66.7% Democratic Party 2 33.3% R+2
2008 Republican Party 4 66.7% Democratic Party 2 33.3% R+2
2006 Republican Party 4 66.7% Democratic Party 2 33.3% R+2
2004 Republican Party 5 83.3% Democratic Party 1 16.7% R+4
2002 Republican Party 5 83.3% Democratic Party 1 16.7% R+4
2000 Republican Party 5 83.3% Democratic Party 1 16.7% R+4

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Kentucky Party Control: 1992-2020
Eight years of Democratic trifectasThree years of Republican trifectas

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Governor D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D
Senate D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R