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Maine, U.S. House, District 2

State Rep. Jared Golden (D) defeated Rep. Bruce Poliquin (R), Tiffany Bond (I) and Will Hoar (I) in the November 6, 2018, general election to represent Maine's 2nd Congressional District.

This election was decided by ranked-choice voting. Read more below.

This was the first general election in Maine for which ranked-choice voting was law, and this race was the first in U.S. history where the process was used to decide a congressional election.

All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.

Prior to Poliquin's defeat, no incumbent had lost an election for Maine's 2nd District seat since 1916. Before Poliquin won the seat in 2014, Democrats held it for 20 years. Barack Obama (D) won the district in the 2012 presidential election by 9 percentage points. Donald Trump (R) won the district in 2016 by 10 percentage points.


Polls

Maine's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

Poll Bruce Poliquin Jared GoldenUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Emerson College
October 27-29, 2018
46%47%4%+/-4.9441
NYT Upshot/Siena College
October 15-18, 2018
41%41%15%+/-4.8501
NYT Upshot/Siena College
September 12-14, 2018
47%42%11%+/-4.8506


Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Jared Golden Democratic Party $5,776,195 $5,683,486 $92,709 As of December 31, 2018
Bruce Poliquin Republican Party $4,233,235 $4,253,973 $3,593 As of December 31, 2018

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018.

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Maine from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Maine Secretary of State and the Federal Election Commission.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Maine every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Maine 2000-2016

Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 47.8% Republican Party Donald Trump 44.9% 2.9%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 56.3% Republican Party Mitt Romney 41.0% 15.3%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 57.7% Republican Party John McCain 40.4% 17.3%
2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 53.6% Republican Party George W. Bush 44.6% 9.0%
2000 Democratic Party Al Gore 49.1% Republican Party George W. Bush 44.0% 5.1%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Maine from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Maine 2000-2016

Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party Susan Collins 67.0% Democratic Party Shenna Bellows 30.8% 36.2%
2012 Grey.png Angus King 51.1% Republican Party Charles Summers 29.7% 21.4%
2008 Republican Party Susan Collins 61.3% Democratic Party Thomas H. Allen 38.6% 22.7%
2006 Republican Party Olympia Snowe 74.0% Democratic Party Jean Hay Bright 20.6% 53.4%
2002 Republican Party Susan Collins 58.4% Democratic Party Chellie Pingree 41.6% 16.8%
2000 Republican Party Olympia Snowe 68.9% Democratic Party Mark Lawrence 31.1% 37.8%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Maine.

Election results (Governor), Maine 2000-2016

Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party Paul LePage 48.2% Democratic Party Mike Michaud 43.4% 4.8%
2010 Republican Party Paul LePage 37.6% Grey.png Eliot Cutler 35.9% 1.7%
2006 Democratic Party John E. Baldacci 38.1% Republican Party Chandler E. Woodcock 30.2% 7.9%
2002 Democratic Party John E. Baldacci 47.1% Republican Party Peter E. Cianchette 41.5% 5.6%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Maine in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Maine 2000-2016

Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 1 50.0% Democratic Party 1 50.0% Even
2014 Republican Party 1 50.0% Democratic Party 1 50.0% Even
2012 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 2 100% D+2
2010 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 2 100% D+2
2008 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 2 100% D+2
2006 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 2 100% D+2
2004 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 2 100% D+2
2002 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 2 100% D+2
2000 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 2 100% D+2

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Maine Party Control: 1992-2019
Nine years of Democratic trifectasTwo years of Republican trifectas

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Governor R R R I I I I I I I I D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D
Senate D D D R R D D D D S S D D D D D D D D R R D D R R R R D
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R D D D D D D D


Demographics

Demographic data for Maine

MaineU.S.
Total population:1,329,453316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):30,8433,531,905
Gender
Female:51.1%50.8%
Race and ethnicity**
White:95%73.6%
Black/African American:1.1%12.6%
Asian:1.1%5.1%
Native American:0.6%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2%3%
Hispanic/Latino:1.5%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:91.6%86.7%
College graduation rate:29%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$49,331$53,889
Persons below poverty level:16.6%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Maine.

As of July 2016, Maine's three largest cities were Portland (pop. est. 65,000), Lewiston (pop. est. 35,000), and Bangor (pop. est. 30,000).